Seven Factors will influence who will win the November 11 Imo governorship election.
Survey and analysis conducted by INNONEWS in the past one month, reveal that
if unconventional factors do not influence the outcome of the contest on Election Day, the winner of the election will likely be determined by several factors.
Some of the factors are voter turn out, party’s strength, candidate’s appeal, issues alignment, zonal dynamics, incumbency factor, and electoral integrity.
Voter Turnout:
The number of voters who show up to cast their ballots will play a significant role in the off cycle governorship election.
A higher voter turnout can favour the candidate with a broader base of support.
Party Strength
The strength and organizational capacity of the political parties involved can impact the outcome of the polls.
Strong party machinery can mobilize voters effectively.
Candidate’s Appeal
The popularity and appeal of the individual candidates, their track records, and their campaign messages can sway voters.
Issues Alignment
Voters’ alignment with the candidates’ positions on key issues, such as security, governamce, the economy, and social welfare, will also be a decisive factor.
Zonal Dynamics
The power of zonal politics in Imo State cannot be under estimated. The candidates’ ability to secure support across the three zones within the state will be crucial.
Incumbency Advantage
This confers enormous advantage on the incumbent governor.
His performance in office, if tangible enough and other advantages of incumbency may play a role.
Electoral Integrity
The fairness, credibility, and transparency of the election process will impact the perception of the results.
Ultimately, the candidate who can garner the most support across these factors is likely to emerge as the winner if unconventional factors do not intervene.