In every democratic polity with heterogeneous setting, power rotation is an inevitable mechanism that reliably enroots and fastens democratic development. It entails equitable rotation of the various arms of government amongst the individual geopolitical divides in the polity. In same vein, all leadership positions that are elective or appointive must revolve round such geopolitical divides. This has great developmental benefits. It fosters peace and unity, and to great somewhat ensures even distribution of dividends of democracy. It plays the accommodative cannon, wherein every component geopolitical divide receives adequate sense of belonging and co-participates in the leadership and building of the polity.
Though power is taken and not given, the idea of survival of the fittest as power-obtainment, ploy greatly impinges on pragmatic equity in power rotation in the multifaceted geopolitical divides in Nigeria. It fans the embers of domination and marginalization of some segments over others and thus the major cause of various agitations across the country by the marginalized and minority groups. The worst is with the Igbos/Southeasterners that are today punitively vanquished and marginalized in memory of their secessionist attempt that ended in “no victor, no vanquish.” But if truly “the war” has ended and with ‘no victor, no vanquish,’ why are Igbos marginalized still half a decade after the war?
How can Igbos/Southeasterners be assuaged? How can the wounds of the war be healed? How does Nigeria intend to prove to Igbos/Southeasterners that the ‘no victor, no vanquish” declared after the war and the acclaimed national oneness of all geopolitical divides (as a federated State), when obvious institutionalized marginalization permanently denies them reach to the apex leadership positions of the country?
Come 2023 and in accordance with the gentleman’s agreement among the Southern and Northern Nigeria in 1998, power must rotate to the Southern Nigeria, and since the Southwest and South-South have taken their own shots to the Presidency since 1999, “to-be-and-not-to-be” is the question. Will a South-easterner be the next President of Nigeria or not? What do Igbos need to do? What are the prospects and challenges facing the project of the Nigerian President of Igbo extraction come 2023?
At the onset of the Fourth Republic, the Igbos fluffed a golden opportunity to produce a Nigerian President of Igbo extraction when they betrayed the late Alex Ekwueme at the PDP convention in Jos in 1998. At that time, he was in a pole-position to emerge as the PDP Presidential candidate in the run-up to the 1999 Presidential election. Had he won that PDP Presidential ticket, he would have become the president of Nigeria as PDP was the most formidable political party in Nigeria, but his Igbo compatriots who were top members of PDP sold him down the river for pecuniary and selfish reasons. Should this intra-ethnic hatred spring for any reason come 2023, the dream of a Nigerian President of Igbo extraction or from the Southeast will be impossible to realize.
Power-shift and rotational presidency to the southern Nigeria should determine the choice and provenance of the Presidential and Vice Presidential candidates of all the major political parties featuring in the presidential elections of 2023. This practice has been adopted by all success-meant political parties since the beginning of the zoning presidential politics amongst the six geopolitical zones in the country.
In 1999, the presidential tickets of apex political parties were concentrated in the Southwest in order to placate the Abiola’s denial. Thus, the tickets were for Olusegun Obasanjo (PDP) and Olu Falae (AD and APP). In 2007, the elections were mainly for Musa Yar’Adua, Nuhu Ribadu and Muhammadu Buhari etc, albeit there were some other zones that featured candidates from their side in other political parties. In 2019, the election was mainly between Buhari and Abubakar Atiku. So in 2023, it should be between Southerners and precisely from Southeast.
A Nigerian President of Igbo extraction will not only heal the wounds of the past, it is also a bold step in harnessing the country’s abundant potential towards the greater good. It is an opportunity for equity and justice. According to Ogbonnia, it is an opportunity to assuage the long-standing distrust against Igbo-speaking people of Nigeria. It is a profound opportunity for the Igbo to reverse the downward spiral of distrust created among themselves by artificial post-civil war boundaries.
Despite the existence of the Federal Character Commission and the insistence that federal positions be shared on federal character basis, gross inequality heralds the Igbo existence in the Nigerian polity. There are institutionalized imbalance in the numbers of States in the Southeast geopolitical zone, in the numbers of Senatorial and House of Reps seats, Local Government Councils, Wards and Polling Units, etc., in the Southeast compared to the other 5 zones. Given these facts, I ask, since there was ‘no victor and no vanquish’ after the Biafra secessionist war, why are the constitutional rights of Igbos denied them? How does Nigeria intend to heal the wounds of the civil war? The list of these imbalances is numerous and thus a central part of the rationale for the still agitation for the Sovereign State of Biafra by IPOB, MASSOB, etc.
Now, it is time again to heal the wounds of the past and affirm our national oneness, the 2023 President must return to the Southern Nigeria, and since the Southwest and South-South have had their turns in the presidency, it is the turn of the Southeast to produce the Nigerian President. But then, what does this imply and demand?
Certainly, for Igbos to realize the vision of the Nigerian President of Southeast extraction come 2023, they should be able to be part of any major and serious-minded political party that is featuring presidential candidates. This has been emphasised by prominent Nigerians from Igbo and Yoruba lands. Most conscientious Nigerians from other tribes, like the former Aviation Minister, Femi Fani-Kayode strongly supports the move but urges the Southeast leaders to reach out to their colleagues in other zones and southern Nigeria to make the quest a smooth sail.
This implies that the Southeast Nigeria has to form a formidable unified front that reaches out to and bargain with other zones, ethnic groups, political blocks, etc. As the Danish philosopher Soren Kierkegaard said, “No venturing, no gaining.”] This according to Ebere Onwudiwe “requires building a strong and expansive nationwide coalition across the country to shake off the excessively individualistic pursuit of that highest office in the country. The place to start is at home, specifically, with consolidating the support of the Igbo nation all over the country and building a fresh strong bridge between constituents and their immediate neighbors in the South-South.” More so, the idea of Igbo enwe Eze, which is a by-product of its over-individualized and equivocal republicanism, must be eschewed. Everybody must not lead or express interest, neither must any interested politician and political bloc see itself as a conditio sine qua non nor play the spoiler-political gimmickry.
The above call for mono-frontal political bargain entails total focus on the presidential seat rather than some cliques and blocs or persons from the Southeast opting for the Vice Presidential seat, National Party Chairman or making multiple demands and bargains. The elder statesmen of the Southeast should be able to call and form senatorial zones and States forum of Southeast statesmen, and the movement goes from senatorial zones to State level; to the Southeast and then to the Igbos in Edo, Rivers and Delta States. A strong delegation must also be formed and reach out to other zones in the Southern Nigeria with the mission of emphasising why Igbos must produce the next President of the country.
Power is taken by dogged efforts not given. Thus, for the Southeast’s target on the 2023 presidential election to be actualized, Igbos must field ‘unique kind of men’ who can withstand the strife for power or there will not be a Nigerian President of Igbo extraction. It is on this note that I concur with Tochukwu Ezukunma’s view that “to expect the emergence of an Igbo president because it is the turn of the Igbo (for the sake of justice and equity) to produce the next president is starry-eyed nonsense.” Dr Ugoji Egbujuo used the actual word, “The Igbo cannot become the whining nation. We must shed the victim mentality of political passivity, negative thinking, helplessness, pessimism.”
Similarly, the leadership of all the apex political parties in Nigeria has to produce their presidential candidates from the Southeast and out of the many and based on the strength of the party, Nigerians would make choice on who rules them come 2023. This practice is not alien in Nigerian politics. It is practiced in every electioneering era amongst every three blocs or senatorial zone in each State of the federation, in their choices of the governorship candidates and to ensure equity in power rotation amongst component senatorial zones of the State. Without power rotation amongst the senatorial blocs in every State, one or two zones shall continue to dominate others against equity and fairness. This has saved and helped advance democracy in Nigeria since 1999, mostly in the State’s level,
Nigeria as a nation and federated State must see the Presidency of Southeast extraction as a task that must be accomplished as she did to the Southwest because of late Mushod Abiola. The realization of this national project goes a long way to ensuring definite sense of belongingness amongst Southeast Nigerians. It will foster democratic development, security, peace and unity. It will also go a long way in stopping secessionist agitations from the zone, and will be a reference point to all the 36 States of the federation, on the principles of rotational executive head of their States in a way that after one senatorial zone produces the State Governor, the next in the roll takes over. We must form this habit as a national portrait if democracy must grow fast in Nigeria.